The international air transport Association, is satisfied that traffic should be lower than 24% at the level of 2019.
The air transport is not expected to return to the level of traffic before 2023 with first a restart on domestic routes this summer followed by a recovery to be much slower for the international traffic, said on Wednesday the international air transport Association (Iata).
By 2021, the organisation which represents 290 airlines believes that the traffic (measured in passenger-kilometers pay, RPK) is expected to be 24% below the level of 2019, on the basis of a recovery that would begin in the third quarter of 2020 through the re-opening of domestic routes.
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But the recovery depends on the speed at which the borders will reopen, and the pace of global growth and the impact on the segment of long-haul travel “will be far more severe and will last longer,” said the organization. In a scenario that is more pessimistic, where the traffic restrictions will persist in the third quarter of this year, the Iata is considering a traffic in RPK, down 34% in 2021.
A combination of different measures?
According to a survey conducted by Iata, 58% of passengers surveyed would limit in a first time their trips to stay in their country. “This makes measures of health security, common for the plane trip, even more important,” commented the director general of the Iata, Alexandre de Juniac, fearing the impact of unilateral measures. According to him, discussions are ongoing at international level to determine a number of control measures and health measures in the municipalities.
The Iata argues in favor of the combination of different measures -such as the port of the mask, and the control of the temperature of the passenger pending the arrival of a vaccine, passport or immune tests Covid-19, usable on a large scale.
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“Covid-19”, the new coronavirus
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The organization said, however, totally opposed to measures of quarantine of arriving passengers. According to it, “69% of travelers would refuse to travel in the event of a quarantine of 14 days,” according to a survey of passengers. In Spain, persons arriving in the territory from abroad shall be subject to a quarantine of 14 days from Friday and throughout the duration of the state of emergency.
