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Bitcoin Over-the-Counter (OTC) Desk Balances Drop to New Low in 30 Days

Bitcoin’s Over-the-Counter (OTC) desk balances have reached a new low in the past 30 days, marking a significant shift in the market dynamics. This decrease in OTC desk balances comes at a critical juncture for the Bitcoin market, as it signals a potential turning point for the digital asset.

Stabilized OTC and ETF Activity

Recent data from CryptoQuant indicates a decline in the 30-day change in total Bitcoin held by Over-The-Counter (OTC) desks, with the last time this level was seen at the beginning of August. This shift in OTC desk balances coincides with a stabilization in ETF activity, suggesting that the Bitcoin market is at a crucial moment.

In 2024, Bitcoin’s price has been trading within a strong channel between $42,500 and $72,500. Despite this price range, OTC Bitcoin balances remained stable at around 200,000 BTC for the first five months of the year. However, in June, there was a notable increase in OTC balances, peaking in mid-July amidst heightened price volatility.

Market Trends and Shifts

The stabilization of OTC balances in early August marked a turning point for the market, as the 30-day balance changes started to decrease. By September, OTC balances had surpassed 400,000 BTC, indicating a growing interest in Bitcoin. This increase in OTC desk balances, coupled with rising ETF inflows, suggests a strong demand for the digital asset.

The data also points to a potential tightening of supply post-halving, as investors continue to show interest in acquiring Bitcoin. However, the market saw a brief downturn in August, with the 30-day change reversing upward and causing the price of Bitcoin to drop from $67,000 to $57,000 before recovering to $61,000.

Implications for the Market

The recent decrease in OTC desk balances highlights a shift in market sentiment towards Bitcoin. As OTC balances reach a new low in the past 30 days, it indicates a potential shift in investor behavior and market dynamics. This could have significant implications for the future price of Bitcoin and overall market stability.

Overall, the decrease in OTC desk balances and the stabilization of ETF activity point to a critical juncture for the Bitcoin market. Investors and analysts will be closely monitoring these trends to gauge the future direction of the digital asset. As the market continues to evolve, it is essential to stay informed and aware of these developments to make informed investment decisions.