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Bitcoin Transaction Fees to Exceed Block Subsidy, Says Marathon CEO Fred Thiel

Marathon CEO Fred Thiel recently shared his insights on the future of Bitcoin transaction fees and other key aspects of the cryptocurrency landscape in an interview with CryptoSlate at BTC Prague 2024.

Thiel highlighted the increasing transaction fees in Bitcoin, attributing them to large payloads that require prioritization. He explained that transaction volume in the mempool plays a significant role in determining fees, with additional value-added services contributing to the overall cost. Thiel compared this to a tiered system, with different levels of service quality affecting transaction fees. He predicted that transaction fees would eventually surpass the block subsidy as the subsidy continues to decrease over time.

In terms of the resilience of the Bitcoin hash rate, Thiel noted that despite expectations of a significant drop after the halving, the actual decline was less severe. He credited this resilience to growth announcements from public and sovereign miners. Thiel anticipates that public miners will become a smaller part of the global hash rate as new sovereign and private entities enter the mining space, leading to a more diversified mining landscape.

Thiel also discussed Marathon’s global expansion initiatives, particularly in Kenya and the UAE. These initiatives involve strategic partnerships at the sovereign level, utilizing untapped energy resources to drive foreign direct investments, job creation, and government revenues. Thiel emphasized the role of the US government in facilitating these partnerships, including collaborations with tech giants like Microsoft and Google to enhance these projects.

Marathon’s recent inclusion in the S&P 600 index was noted, along with increased institutional investment and trading volume. Thiel mentioned that while institutional interest in the company is growing, there is also heightened short interest due to its high liquidity.

On the political front, Thiel observed bipartisan support for Bitcoin and Bitcoin mining in Congress, contrasting with the stance of the executive branch. He expressed Marathon’s backing for political candidates who are favorable to the digital assets industry.

Regarding operational challenges, Thiel mentioned recent transformer issues affecting Marathon’s Ellendale site. He assured that the site is now 85% operational and will be fully online in the near future.

Thiel’s insights underscore Marathon Digital Holdings’ strategic approach and resilience in the ever-evolving digital assets market. The company’s focus on global expansion, transaction fee dynamics, and political landscape positioning it for continued growth and success in the cryptocurrency industry.