The new study insists that the PP could lose its absolute majority and maintains seat options for the mayor of Ourense’s party
The Popular Party, PSOE and Sumar would be in decline according to a new survey by the Center for Sociological Research (CIS), which only places the BNG on the rise compared to the one published on January 25.
Specifically, it points out that the PP is going backwards and could lose its absolute majority – set at 38 seats in the Parliament of Galicia – with 42.2% of the votes and gain between 34 and 38 deputies. In this way, Alfonso Rueda’s popular party would lose one point with respect to the previous study published by the CIS.
Opposite, the BNG led by Ana Pontón rises more than three points compared to January 25, up to 32.9%, and would remain between 22 and 26 seats. The nationalists would break their electoral ceiling, located at 19 deputies in 2020 – yes, a maximum in seats but not in votes.
For its part, the Socialist Party continues as the third force and would reach 20.1%, which is three tenths less than in the previous survey, and places it in a range of between 13 to 15 deputies. In addition, Sumar could get a seat with 2.1%, just over one point less.
The CIS maintains the chances that the Democracia Ourensana candidacy will achieve a vote for the province of Ourense, by once again giving it 0.4% of the votes.
The Sociological Research Center directed by José Félix Tezanos continues to point out that Vox would remain outside the Pazo do Hórreo, with a vote estimate of 0.9%, lower than the one given in the previous survey –1.3– .
The Podemos candidacy, headed by Isabel Faraldo, would also be left out of the Galician Chamber, with 0.3% of the votes, one tenth less than in the study of November 25.
ANA PONTON CONTINUES AS THE MOST VALUED LEADER
The leader of the BNG, Ana Pontón, continues in this survey as the best rated, with 5.74, followed by Alfonso Rueda (PP), with 5.37; and the PSOE candidate, with 4.86.
Behind is Sumar’s aspirant to lead San Caetano, Marta Lois, with a 3.98. Furthermore, this survey is about the founder of Espazo Común Galeguista, the ex-socialist Pachi Vázquez, with a 3.66.
UNDECISION
According to data published this Monday by the CIS, 27.7% of Galicians have not yet decided which political party or coalition they are going to vote for. Furthermore, 5.5% are going to decide their vote during the day of reflection and 6.1% have assured that they will do so on election day.
The data from this pre-campaign survey was collected between January 29 and February 1, just before the start of the campaign and has a sample of 3,743 interviews.
The previous pre-campaign study, published by the CIS on January 25, had been carried out between January 8 and 22, with a sample of 11,011 interviews spread across the four Galician provinces.
